GENIUS passed. Stablecoins won. Salty folks who missed the wave on crypto are caterwauling, trying to stay relevant by predicting the apocalypse. Again.
*Bottom Line Up Front
Good morning,
In 2008, Nouriel Roubini infamously started predicting doom. Never stopped.
Last week, the Financial Times published Rana Foorohar's "Crypto Coming Crisis" which was so spectacularly wrong about stablecoins, I had to check if the FT was doing satire. She claims T-bills in a payment wrapper will somehow crater markets.
First impression? OK, Doomer. Peddling fear to people like my grandma, who don’t know the T-bills from T-bone steaks.
Rana, I've managed crises that would turn your hair white but you’re the catastrophic doom expert? Receipts. Read on.
Read on,
Austin
Teaching Blockchain & DeFi at NYU Stern
Talking to institutions at Zero Knowledge
Anxiety begets attention. Bad news attracts views. Catastrophe incites clicks.
Professional doomers predict disaster. When it doesn't happen, they predict it harder. When it still doesn't happen, they go on TV and get a book deal. Roubini called one crash in 2008. Since then? He's called 50 more that never came.
Foorohar claims stablecoins will trigger the next crisis? No evidence. Hand-waving about "systemic risk" and "contagion."
No track record. Zero trades, zero P&L, zero skin in the game.'
Scholar or Scammer?
→ Pick a scary topic (crypto, AI, China, etc.)
→ Pepper scary words : "systemic", "contagion"
→ Obfuscate a 15 year record of being obviously, wrong.
→ Invoice think tanks for entirely biased "expertise".
→ Rinse. Repeat. Rinse. Repeat. Retirement.
I don’t need to answer to why stablecoins (backed by instruments like t-bills and money market funds) are dangerous. Already, your treasury desk holds billions of those.
But if you want to, rebut her Twitter thread with today’s Zero In letter, tagging our new X handle: @ZKZeroKnowledge.
GENIUS regulations borrow from NYDFS regulations and NYDFS-regulated stablecoins maintained pegs through:
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GENIUS is a shift to the paradigm.
For decades, if anyone around the world wanted US dollars they bent the knee to banks charging 3%. To their governments’ access controls. To SWIFT taking its sweet time.
Ukrainian refugee: Sends USDs home in 30 seconds, not 5 days
Nigerian entrepreneur: Takes US customer payments without bank fees
Turkish family: Saves some stable value in USD while the lira craters 90%
Latin American workers: Keep 97% of remittances, not 85%
GENIUS unlocks massive global demand for US Treasury bills, people around the world into buying American debt.
PERSPECTIVES
Stablecoins are backed by T-bills and bank deposits. So when 3 billion people opt in to our digital dollars, what they're doing is buying our government bonds.
Back door dollar dominance.
AUSTIN CAMPBELL
DO YOUR RESEARCH OR ASK US TO
Twenty years ago, "experts" explained “e-trading” would destroy markets.
Ten years ago, they said “e-payments” were too risky.
Five years ago, they said everything blockchain was bad.
Every stablecoin transaction shows how broken bank offerings are.
Every instant settlement shuttles SWIFT towards a swift death.
GENIUS stablecoins aren’t a risk. So what terrifies doomers?
Systemic risk? No—systemic obsolescence.
Doomers aren't protecting you from crisis.
Only their own relevance from reality - and reality is winning.
Spoke at Blockchain NYC last week about post GENIUS stablecoins, covered the winners/losers of this legislation, and the impact on traditional financial markets .
Austin Campbell speaks on GENIUS stablecoins at Blockchain NYC
Also my friend Omid Malekan testified in the Tornado Cash trial as a witness about legitimate privacy uses (like hiding donations to Planned Parenthood, to avoid becoming a political target).
Preorders are open for new book "Stealing the Future: Sam Bankman-Fried, Elite Fraud, and the Cult of Techno-Utopia" on Silicon Valley delulu and SBF’s dirty.
1 Long form article on DeFi dooming, available at Zero Insights.
2 Missed out? Read previous issues of Zero In 003, 002, 001.
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