• Zero In
  • Posts
  • Day 1 to Dollar Dominance

Day 1 to Dollar Dominance

Dictators lost. Demagogues rekt. USD wins.

BLUF*

GENIUS shifts global and institutional power.

Despite the doomers & boomers caterwauling on crypto, Congress came together to pass GENIUS, the most important legislation since Dodd-Frank—unlocking a $10 trillion digital currency market and giving 3 billion people access to digital dollar freedom. Win? 1000%.

*Bottom Line Up Front

Good morning,

Last weekend in a windowless room with "air conditioning" that nearly, violated the Geneva Convention, I watched a Republican and Democrat staffer, bang out the American future of finance. And then, GENIUS passed.

Every tinpot dictator with a printing press realized their citizens just got a backdoor to the dollar. Elizabeth Warren's anti-DeFi crusaders got so wrecked, even more Democrats abandoned their ranks. JPMorgan realizes they've been playing checkers, while DeFi-natives were patiently, playing chess.

Here's what really happened—and who might win, and who should be terrified.

Next time,
Austin Campbell

Teaching Blockchain & DeFi at NYU

Talking to institutions at Zero Knowledge

ZERO IN

BEHIND THE SCENES

Congressional Chaos

LOCATION
U.S. CAPITOL
Buildings designed by someone with a violent grudge against efficient movement. MC Escher would approve.
OPERATIVES
DC STAFFERS
Exhausted twentysomethings juggling 40+ issues decoding blockchain for their bosses (if any of you need, I'm happy to help).

OPERATION: GENIUS ACT

PHASE 1: CHAOS

Crypto legislation enters hostile territory. Flanked by Alex Jones-level factless cranks and falsely intentioned hype merchants, ~20 moderate legislators maintain sanity in the middle.

PHASE 2: THE WINDOWLESS ROOM

Senior staffers from opposing factions locked in marathon negotiations. Air conditioning: bad. Mission: bipartisan breakthrough.

PHASE 3: TREASURY INTERVENTION

Officials burn countless hours on market structure analysis. Objective inquiries: exploitation vectors and systemic risk. Someone pulls up one of my tweets.

OUTCOME: COMPROMISE

Bitcoin-maxis mad about centralized controls. Banks hate competition on deposits. Nobody's 100% happy but 🤷‍♂️

GOOD LEGISLATION:

Nobody's 100% happy

REALITY CHECK

Anti-DeFi Army

⚡ WATERLOO-ED
'22-'25
YEARS OF FAILED ATTACKS
70+
AVERAGE AGE OF DEFI-SKEPTICS
18-29
AGE GROUP DEFECTING DEMS

What They Tried:

1. Lawfare against legitimate businesses

2. Operation Chokepoint 2.0

3. SEC sanctioned for illegal behavior (Debt Box)

4. Attempted to criminalize NFT music releases

What Actually Happened:

Democrats voted for GENIUS in droves. Warren's camp aligning with big banks while claiming to champion the little guy? Nobody's buying it anymore.

THE VERDICT: Ideology vs informed. Guess who won?

GEOPOLITICS

USD: Economic Escape Hatch

Policymakers don't understand: Every person on Earth with internet access becomes a potential node in the US financial system.

Requirements for USD stablecoin access:

  1. Internet connection
  2. Something of value

That's it. At Paxos, I saw the only country where citizens couldn't access USD stablecoins? North Korea.

Think about the geopolitical implications: When authoritarian regimes impose capital controls, when they weaponize their currencies, when they inflate away citizens' savings—now they have a USD escape hatch. Not theoretical. Operational.

BEFORE GENIUS

Control

Woman in Saudi Arabia? Government says you can't have a bank account. Too bad.
Saved in Turkish Lira? Lost 90% of value in 5 years. Government blocks dollar access.
Protested in Hong Kong? Bank accounts frozen. No appeals.
AFTER GENIUS

Choice

Device + internet = dollars. No permission needed.
Their governments can't freezeTheir people control their keys.
Stable currency for 3 billion people First time in history.

America's largest soft power expansion in 50 years. We just made dollar dominance both legal and unstoppable.

WINNERS & LOSERS

Stablecoins: $1 → ∞

Who survives? Who starves?

🚀

WINNERS

Positioned to dominate

Big Banks (The Smart Ones)

JPM, BofA, Citi capture repo fees & custody if they hire crypto natives

Small Specialists

Dart Bank & others who move fast while big banks committee

First-Mover Payments

PayPal (stablecoin), Stripe (Bridge) understand network effects

Consumers Globally

Escape 0% yields, access dollars, bypass corruption

3B New Dollar Users

Internet + smartphone = US financial system access

AT RISK

Adapt or die territory

Tether

$6.2B profit threatened by BlackRock/JPM competition

Circle

$5B valuation at risk, too dependent on Coinbase

Legacy Payment Rails

Visa/Mastercard must pivot to open-access or become Borders

Regional Banks

Caught between zombie status and specialist evolution

Slow-Moving Fintechs

API companies without stablecoin strategy = dead men walking

💀

LOSERS

Terminal diagnosis

Zombie Banks

COBOL systems, 9-month account openings, dead bank walking

Warren Coalition

Anti-crypto army routed, Democrats voted GENIUS in droves

Currency Dictators

Lost monopoly on money printing, citizens have exits

Slow Payment Companies

Hiring McKinsey for "blockchain strategy" = death signal

Capital Controllers

Argentina, Turkey, Venezuela lose grip on citizens' wealth

Key Takeaways

$10T+
MARKET OPPORTUNITY
Stablecoin market projection banks have 24 months to capture
3B
NEW USERS
People worldwide gaining access to US dollar stability
70+
AGE OF AVG CRYPTO HATER
Best predictor of politicians hating digital assets

ZERO OUT

GENIUS SHIFTS POWER.

Future of finance is at its starting point.

Every corrupt government lost their currency monopoly. Payment companies to put their products on chains. Banks to compete on deposits, or die. And the anti-crypto coalition got demolished so badly they'll be finding pieces for years.

For you? If you're at a financial institution, hire DeFi natives or fade into irrelevance. If you're an investor, watch who moves first—they'll own the next decade. If you're anyone else in the space, you got options you didn't have last week. 

ZERO INSIDER

AUSTIN

Mainly, I'm recovering from the final push on GENIUS. I'm watching to see which TradFi players can get their act together first. Maybe the first time crypto starts impacting public equity markets. Eventually it'll bleed into bank, asset manager, and payment company valuations. After that, it's right back in the saddle—the great game has begun.

DAVID

I've been covering the Roman Storm trial (Tornado Cash developer), where the government's sloppy case has already opened the door for a potential mistrial.

1  To read our long-form on GENIUS passing, click through to Zero Insights.

Reply

or to participate.